Time-Dependent Reliability of Aging Structures: Overview of Assessment Methods

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Authors

Research Organisations

External Research Organisations

  • University of Wollongong
  • University of Liverpool
  • International Joint Research Center for Engineering Reliability and Stochastic Mechanics
  • Tongji University
  • University of Maryland
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Details

Original languageEnglish
Article number03121003
Number of pages22
JournalASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering
Volume7
Issue number4
Early online date31 Jul 2021
Publication statusPublished - Dec 2021

Abstract

Reliability assessment of engineered structures is a powerful and useful concept to estimate the structural capacity of withstanding hazardous events during their service lives. Taking into account the time variation of both structural resistance and the external load processes, the structural safety level is dependent on the duration of service period of interest, due to the accumulation of hazards by exposure in time. This paper presents an overview on the nonempirical assessment methods for time-dependent reliability of deteriorating structures. Generally, these methods can be classified into two types, namely simulation-based and analytical methods. The former is usually brute, and is especially suitable for solving high-dimensional reliability problems. Conversely, analytical solutions may improve the calculation efficiency significantly, and offer insights into the reliability problem that otherwise could be difficult to achieve through Monte Carlo simulation. Both the simulation-based and analytical methods will be reviewed in this paper. Furthermore, the application of time-dependent reliability methods in practical engineering is discussed. Recommendations for future research efforts are also presented.

Keywords

    Analytical approach, Load stochastic processes, Monte Carlo simulation, Resilience, Resistance deterioration, Structural reliability, Time-dependent reliability

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Cite this

Time-Dependent Reliability of Aging Structures: Overview of Assessment Methods. / Wang, Cao; Beer, Michael; Ayyub, Bilal M.
In: ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering, Vol. 7, No. 4, 03121003, 12.2021.

Research output: Contribution to journalReview articleResearchpeer review

Wang, C, Beer, M & Ayyub, BM 2021, 'Time-Dependent Reliability of Aging Structures: Overview of Assessment Methods', ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering, vol. 7, no. 4, 03121003. https://doi.org/10.1061/AJRUA6.0001176
Wang, C., Beer, M., & Ayyub, B. M. (2021). Time-Dependent Reliability of Aging Structures: Overview of Assessment Methods. ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering, 7(4), Article 03121003. https://doi.org/10.1061/AJRUA6.0001176
Wang C, Beer M, Ayyub BM. Time-Dependent Reliability of Aging Structures: Overview of Assessment Methods. ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering. 2021 Dec;7(4):03121003. Epub 2021 Jul 31. doi: 10.1061/AJRUA6.0001176
Wang, Cao ; Beer, Michael ; Ayyub, Bilal M. / Time-Dependent Reliability of Aging Structures : Overview of Assessment Methods. In: ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering. 2021 ; Vol. 7, No. 4.
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AU - Ayyub, Bilal M.

N1 - Funding Information: The first author would like to thank the Institute for Risk and Reliability, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Germany, and the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation for providing support to complete this paper. The thoughtful reviewer comments are gratefully acknowledged, which substantially improved the present paper.

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N2 - Reliability assessment of engineered structures is a powerful and useful concept to estimate the structural capacity of withstanding hazardous events during their service lives. Taking into account the time variation of both structural resistance and the external load processes, the structural safety level is dependent on the duration of service period of interest, due to the accumulation of hazards by exposure in time. This paper presents an overview on the nonempirical assessment methods for time-dependent reliability of deteriorating structures. Generally, these methods can be classified into two types, namely simulation-based and analytical methods. The former is usually brute, and is especially suitable for solving high-dimensional reliability problems. Conversely, analytical solutions may improve the calculation efficiency significantly, and offer insights into the reliability problem that otherwise could be difficult to achieve through Monte Carlo simulation. Both the simulation-based and analytical methods will be reviewed in this paper. Furthermore, the application of time-dependent reliability methods in practical engineering is discussed. Recommendations for future research efforts are also presented.

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