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First excursion probability of dynamical systems: A review on computational methods

Research output: Contribution to journalReview articleResearchpeer review

Authors

  • Youbao Jiang
  • Xuyang Zhang
  • Michael Beer
  • Matthias G.R. Faes

Research Organisations

External Research Organisations

  • Changsha University of Science and Technology
  • University of Liverpool
  • TU Dortmund University
  • University of Thessaly

Details

Original languageEnglish
Article number112751
JournalMechanical Systems and Signal Processing
Volume232
Early online date15 Apr 2025
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jun 2025

Abstract

The theory of dynamic reliability, predicated on the first excursion failure criterion, holds significant importance in the domains of seismic and wind resistance of structures, as well as in the assessment of the reliability of machinery and airplanes. This theoretical framework offers a mathematical description of failure probabilities, which serve as critical indicators for the safety evaluations of dynamic systems. However, dynamical systems such as large structures, machines or airplanes are composed of numerous members and nodes that may be influenced by uncertainties related to loads, geometric imperfections, and material properties. The inherent high-dimensional randomness and pronounced nonlinear coupling effects contribute to the complexity and implicit nature of the system failure modes in these systems. Consequently, the computation of the first excursion probability for complex dynamical systems presents a formidable challenge that necessitates comprehensive investigation. To summarize the current methodologies, this paper delineates a state-of-the-art review of dynamic reliability theory, with a particular emphasis on its potential to address the first excursion probability in dynamical systems.

Keywords

    Dynamical systems, First excursion probability, Random excitation, Random vibrations, Reliability theory

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Cite this

First excursion probability of dynamical systems: A review on computational methods. / Jiang, Youbao; Zhang, Xuyang; Beer, Michael et al.
In: Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing, Vol. 232, 112751, 01.06.2025.

Research output: Contribution to journalReview articleResearchpeer review

Jiang Y, Zhang X, Beer M, Faes MGR, Papadimitriou C, Zhou H. First excursion probability of dynamical systems: A review on computational methods. Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing. 2025 Jun 1;232:112751. Epub 2025 Apr 15. doi: 10.1016/j.ymssp.2025.112751
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AU - Faes, Matthias G.R.

AU - Papadimitriou, Costas

AU - Zhou, Hao

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