Spatial GARCH models for unknown spatial locations: an application to financial stock returns

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Authors

  • Markus J. Fülle
  • Philipp Otto

External Research Organisations

  • University of Göttingen
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Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)92-105
Number of pages14
JournalSpatial economic analysis
Volume19
Issue number1
Early online date6 Sept 2023
Publication statusPublished - 2024

Abstract

Spatial GARCH models, like all other spatial econometric models, require the definition of a suitable weight matrix. This matrix implies a certain structure for spatial interactions. GARCH-type models are often applied to financial data because the conditional variance, which can be translated as financial risks, is easy to interpret. However, when it comes to instantaneous/spatial interactions, the proximity between observations has to be determined. Thus, we introduce an estimation procedure for spatial GARCH models under unknown locations employing the proximity in a covariate space. We use one-year stock returns of companies listed in the Dow Jones Global Titans 50 index as an empirical illustration. Financial stability is most relevant for determining similar firms concerning stock return volatility.

Keywords

    balance sheet, financial risk spillover, Spatial GARCH, spatial weight matrix, stock returns, unknown locations

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Cite this

Spatial GARCH models for unknown spatial locations: an application to financial stock returns. / Fülle, Markus J.; Otto, Philipp.
In: Spatial economic analysis, Vol. 19, No. 1, 2024, p. 92-105.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Fülle MJ, Otto P. Spatial GARCH models for unknown spatial locations: an application to financial stock returns. Spatial economic analysis. 2024;19(1):92-105. Epub 2023 Sept 6. doi: 10.6084/m9.figshare.24092144.v1, 10.1080/17421772.2023.2237067
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