Simulation and risk evaluation of possible superstorms hitting Europe's north sea coast

Research output: Chapter in book/report/conference proceedingConference contributionResearchpeer review

Authors

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External Research Organisations

  • Tsinghua University
  • Tongji University
  • University of Liverpool
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Details

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationThe 8th International Symposium On Reliability Engineering and Management (ISRERM 2022)
EditorsMichael Beer, Enrico Zio, Kok-Kwang Phoon, Bilal M. Ayyub
Pages629-634
Number of pages6
Publication statusPublished - Sept 2022

Abstract

Due to climate change, the European coast needs to be reassessed regarding safety factors against natural disasters such as tropical cyclones, superstorms, floods, and the general rise in sea level. Within this work, a data-driven model to simulate artificial superstorm events that might hit the German north sea coast is established. By revisiting a historical storm event, namely "Ophelia", a stochastic model has been derived which enables the prediction of wind speed and water level for specific locations of interest. The simulation is carried out using a hybrid coupled model (ADCIRC+SWAN) which combines wind speed propagation, wave propagation, and wave heights. In the end, this model shall provide the basis for a new safety assessment of the German north sea coasts, with the aim of reducing the risk to residents and minimizing economic damage by proposing suitable countermeasures for possible severe weather or flood events.

Keywords

    Coastal risk simulation, Coupled model, European coastline, Wavefield, superstorm simulation

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Sustainable Development Goals

Cite this

Simulation and risk evaluation of possible superstorms hitting Europe's north sea coast. / Sun, Yuankang; Bittner, Marius; Zhang, Yi et al.
The 8th International Symposium On Reliability Engineering and Management (ISRERM 2022). ed. / Michael Beer; Enrico Zio; Kok-Kwang Phoon; Bilal M. Ayyub. 2022. p. 629-634.

Research output: Chapter in book/report/conference proceedingConference contributionResearchpeer review

Sun, Y, Bittner, M, Zhang, Y & Beer, M 2022, Simulation and risk evaluation of possible superstorms hitting Europe's north sea coast. in M Beer, E Zio, K-K Phoon & BM Ayyub (eds), The 8th International Symposium On Reliability Engineering and Management (ISRERM 2022). pp. 629-634. https://doi.org/10.3850/978-981-18-5184-1_MS-19-105-cd
Sun, Y., Bittner, M., Zhang, Y., & Beer, M. (2022). Simulation and risk evaluation of possible superstorms hitting Europe's north sea coast. In M. Beer, E. Zio, K.-K. Phoon, & B. M. Ayyub (Eds.), The 8th International Symposium On Reliability Engineering and Management (ISRERM 2022) (pp. 629-634) https://doi.org/10.3850/978-981-18-5184-1_MS-19-105-cd
Sun Y, Bittner M, Zhang Y, Beer M. Simulation and risk evaluation of possible superstorms hitting Europe's north sea coast. In Beer M, Zio E, Phoon KK, Ayyub BM, editors, The 8th International Symposium On Reliability Engineering and Management (ISRERM 2022). 2022. p. 629-634 doi: 10.3850/978-981-18-5184-1_MS-19-105-cd
Sun, Yuankang ; Bittner, Marius ; Zhang, Yi et al. / Simulation and risk evaluation of possible superstorms hitting Europe's north sea coast. The 8th International Symposium On Reliability Engineering and Management (ISRERM 2022). editor / Michael Beer ; Enrico Zio ; Kok-Kwang Phoon ; Bilal M. Ayyub. 2022. pp. 629-634
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