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Automated Machine Learning for Remaining Useful Life Predictions

Research output: Chapter in book/report/conference proceedingConference contributionResearchpeer review

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Research Organisations

External Research Organisations

  • USU Software AG
  • Esslingen University of Applied Sciences
  • University of Stuttgart
  • Fraunhofer Institute for Manufacturing Engineering and Automation (IPA)
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Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the international conference on Systems Science and Engineering, Human-Machine Systems, and Cybernetics (IEEE SMC)
Subtitle of host publicationImproving the Quality of Life, SMC 2023 - Proceedings
Pages2907-2912
Number of pages6
ISBN (electronic)979-8-3503-3702-0
Publication statusPublished - 1 Oct 2023

Publication series

NameIEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics
ISSN (Print)1062-922X
ISSN (electronic)2577-1655

Abstract

Being able to predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of an engineering system is an important task in prognostics and health management. Recently, data-driven approaches to RUL predictions are becoming prevalent over model-based approaches since no underlying physical knowledge of the engineering system is required. Yet, this just replaces required expertise of the underlying physics with machine learning (ML) expertise, which is often also not available. Automated machine learning (AutoML) promises to build end-to-end ML pipelines automatically enabling domain experts without ML expertise to create their own models. This paper introduces AutoRUL, an AutoML-driven end-to-end approach for automatic RUL predictions. AutoRUL combines fine-tuned standard regression methods to an ensemble with high predictive power. By evaluating the proposed method on eight real-world and synthetic datasets against state-of-the-art hand-crafted models, we show that AutoML provides a viable alternative to hand-crafted data-driven RUL predictions. Consequently, creating RUL predictions can be made more accessible for domain experts using AutoML by eliminating ML expertise from data-driven model construction.

Keywords

    Automated Machine Learning, AutoML, data-driven, ML, PHM, Remaining Useful Life, RUL

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Cite this

Automated Machine Learning for Remaining Useful Life Predictions. / Zoeller, Marc; Mauthe, Fabian; Zeiler, Peter et al.
Proceedings of the international conference on Systems Science and Engineering, Human-Machine Systems, and Cybernetics (IEEE SMC): Improving the Quality of Life, SMC 2023 - Proceedings. 2023. p. 2907-2912 (IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics).

Research output: Chapter in book/report/conference proceedingConference contributionResearchpeer review

Zoeller, M, Mauthe, F, Zeiler, P, Lindauer, M & Huber, M 2023, Automated Machine Learning for Remaining Useful Life Predictions. in Proceedings of the international conference on Systems Science and Engineering, Human-Machine Systems, and Cybernetics (IEEE SMC): Improving the Quality of Life, SMC 2023 - Proceedings. IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, pp. 2907-2912. https://doi.org/10.1109/SMC53992.2023.10394031, https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2306.12215
Zoeller, M., Mauthe, F., Zeiler, P., Lindauer, M., & Huber, M. (2023). Automated Machine Learning for Remaining Useful Life Predictions. In Proceedings of the international conference on Systems Science and Engineering, Human-Machine Systems, and Cybernetics (IEEE SMC): Improving the Quality of Life, SMC 2023 - Proceedings (pp. 2907-2912). (IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics). https://doi.org/10.1109/SMC53992.2023.10394031, https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2306.12215
Zoeller M, Mauthe F, Zeiler P, Lindauer M, Huber M. Automated Machine Learning for Remaining Useful Life Predictions. In Proceedings of the international conference on Systems Science and Engineering, Human-Machine Systems, and Cybernetics (IEEE SMC): Improving the Quality of Life, SMC 2023 - Proceedings. 2023. p. 2907-2912. (IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics). doi: 10.1109/SMC53992.2023.10394031, 10.48550/arXiv.2306.12215
Zoeller, Marc ; Mauthe, Fabian ; Zeiler, Peter et al. / Automated Machine Learning for Remaining Useful Life Predictions. Proceedings of the international conference on Systems Science and Engineering, Human-Machine Systems, and Cybernetics (IEEE SMC): Improving the Quality of Life, SMC 2023 - Proceedings. 2023. pp. 2907-2912 (IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics).
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