Details
Original language | English |
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Article number | 106854 |
Number of pages | 12 |
Journal | World development |
Volume | 187 |
Early online date | 22 Nov 2024 |
Publication status | E-pub ahead of print - 22 Nov 2024 |
Abstract
Rural crime victimization, especially in form of theft, is a serious problem in rural areas in Sub Saharan Africa as it may undermine their sustainable development. Using the case of Tanzania, we investigate the evidence of crime and analyze the factors which determine victimization. Based on a panel dataset of 786 households from rural Tanzania, we find relatively high victimization rates of 37 % and 47 % in 2016 and 2018, respectively. The random-effects and pooled logit models reveal that living in a rural region with high levels of unemployment is positively correlated with the likelihood of victimization. Moreover, exposure to weather shocks such as floods is positively associated with the likelihood of being affected by crime. We conclude that rural crime victimization requires attention due to its high incidence in Tanzania. Improving job opportunities especially for the youth in rural Tanzania is expected to reduce the likelihood of victimization. Guardianship should be encouraged, especially during times of weather shocks.
Keywords
- Logit model, Routine activity approach, Rural crime, Tanzania, Theft victimization
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Social Sciences(all)
- Geography, Planning and Development
- Social Sciences(all)
- Development
- Social Sciences(all)
- Sociology and Political Science
- Economics, Econometrics and Finance(all)
- Economics and Econometrics
Sustainable Development Goals
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In: World development, Vol. 187, 106854, 03.2025.
Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Research › peer review
}
TY - JOUR
T1 - Evidence and determinants of rural crime victimization in Tanzania
AU - Grote, Ulrike
AU - Mager, Gregor
AU - Faße, Anja
AU - Neubacher, Frank
AU - Kissoly, Luitfred
N1 - Publisher Copyright: © 2024 The Authors
PY - 2024/11/22
Y1 - 2024/11/22
N2 - Rural crime victimization, especially in form of theft, is a serious problem in rural areas in Sub Saharan Africa as it may undermine their sustainable development. Using the case of Tanzania, we investigate the evidence of crime and analyze the factors which determine victimization. Based on a panel dataset of 786 households from rural Tanzania, we find relatively high victimization rates of 37 % and 47 % in 2016 and 2018, respectively. The random-effects and pooled logit models reveal that living in a rural region with high levels of unemployment is positively correlated with the likelihood of victimization. Moreover, exposure to weather shocks such as floods is positively associated with the likelihood of being affected by crime. We conclude that rural crime victimization requires attention due to its high incidence in Tanzania. Improving job opportunities especially for the youth in rural Tanzania is expected to reduce the likelihood of victimization. Guardianship should be encouraged, especially during times of weather shocks.
AB - Rural crime victimization, especially in form of theft, is a serious problem in rural areas in Sub Saharan Africa as it may undermine their sustainable development. Using the case of Tanzania, we investigate the evidence of crime and analyze the factors which determine victimization. Based on a panel dataset of 786 households from rural Tanzania, we find relatively high victimization rates of 37 % and 47 % in 2016 and 2018, respectively. The random-effects and pooled logit models reveal that living in a rural region with high levels of unemployment is positively correlated with the likelihood of victimization. Moreover, exposure to weather shocks such as floods is positively associated with the likelihood of being affected by crime. We conclude that rural crime victimization requires attention due to its high incidence in Tanzania. Improving job opportunities especially for the youth in rural Tanzania is expected to reduce the likelihood of victimization. Guardianship should be encouraged, especially during times of weather shocks.
KW - Logit model
KW - Routine activity approach
KW - Rural crime
KW - Tanzania
KW - Theft victimization
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85209758059&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106854
DO - 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106854
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85209758059
VL - 187
JO - World development
JF - World development
SN - 0305-750X
M1 - 106854
ER -