Evidence and determinants of rural crime victimization in Tanzania

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftArtikelForschungPeer-Review

Autorschaft

  • Ulrike Grote
  • Gregor Mager
  • Anja Faße
  • Frank Neubacher
  • Luitfred Kissoly

Externe Organisationen

  • Hochschule Weihenstephan-Triesdorf
  • Universität zu Köln
  • Ardhi University (ARU)
Forschungs-netzwerk anzeigen

Details

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Aufsatznummer106854
Seitenumfang12
FachzeitschriftWorld development
Jahrgang187
Frühes Online-Datum22 Nov. 2024
PublikationsstatusElektronisch veröffentlicht (E-Pub) - 22 Nov. 2024

Abstract

Rural crime victimization, especially in form of theft, is a serious problem in rural areas in Sub Saharan Africa as it may undermine their sustainable development. Using the case of Tanzania, we investigate the evidence of crime and analyze the factors which determine victimization. Based on a panel dataset of 786 households from rural Tanzania, we find relatively high victimization rates of 37 % and 47 % in 2016 and 2018, respectively. The random-effects and pooled logit models reveal that living in a rural region with high levels of unemployment is positively correlated with the likelihood of victimization. Moreover, exposure to weather shocks such as floods is positively associated with the likelihood of being affected by crime. We conclude that rural crime victimization requires attention due to its high incidence in Tanzania. Improving job opportunities especially for the youth in rural Tanzania is expected to reduce the likelihood of victimization. Guardianship should be encouraged, especially during times of weather shocks.

ASJC Scopus Sachgebiete

Ziele für nachhaltige Entwicklung

Zitieren

Evidence and determinants of rural crime victimization in Tanzania. / Grote, Ulrike; Mager, Gregor; Faße, Anja et al.
in: World development, Jahrgang 187, 106854, 03.2025.

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftArtikelForschungPeer-Review

Grote, U., Mager, G., Faße, A., Neubacher, F., & Kissoly, L. (2025). Evidence and determinants of rural crime victimization in Tanzania. World development, 187, Artikel 106854. Vorabveröffentlichung online. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106854
Grote U, Mager G, Faße A, Neubacher F, Kissoly L. Evidence and determinants of rural crime victimization in Tanzania. World development. 2025 Mär;187:106854. Epub 2024 Nov 22. doi: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106854
Grote, Ulrike ; Mager, Gregor ; Faße, Anja et al. / Evidence and determinants of rural crime victimization in Tanzania. in: World development. 2025 ; Jahrgang 187.
Download
@article{d7dbfe39dfa84adfbfe4985f20698fc3,
title = "Evidence and determinants of rural crime victimization in Tanzania",
abstract = "Rural crime victimization, especially in form of theft, is a serious problem in rural areas in Sub Saharan Africa as it may undermine their sustainable development. Using the case of Tanzania, we investigate the evidence of crime and analyze the factors which determine victimization. Based on a panel dataset of 786 households from rural Tanzania, we find relatively high victimization rates of 37 % and 47 % in 2016 and 2018, respectively. The random-effects and pooled logit models reveal that living in a rural region with high levels of unemployment is positively correlated with the likelihood of victimization. Moreover, exposure to weather shocks such as floods is positively associated with the likelihood of being affected by crime. We conclude that rural crime victimization requires attention due to its high incidence in Tanzania. Improving job opportunities especially for the youth in rural Tanzania is expected to reduce the likelihood of victimization. Guardianship should be encouraged, especially during times of weather shocks.",
keywords = "Logit model, Routine activity approach, Rural crime, Tanzania, Theft victimization",
author = "Ulrike Grote and Gregor Mager and Anja Fa{\ss}e and Frank Neubacher and Luitfred Kissoly",
note = "Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2024 The Authors",
year = "2024",
month = nov,
day = "22",
doi = "10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106854",
language = "English",
volume = "187",
journal = "World development",
issn = "0305-750X",
publisher = "Elsevier BV",

}

Download

TY - JOUR

T1 - Evidence and determinants of rural crime victimization in Tanzania

AU - Grote, Ulrike

AU - Mager, Gregor

AU - Faße, Anja

AU - Neubacher, Frank

AU - Kissoly, Luitfred

N1 - Publisher Copyright: © 2024 The Authors

PY - 2024/11/22

Y1 - 2024/11/22

N2 - Rural crime victimization, especially in form of theft, is a serious problem in rural areas in Sub Saharan Africa as it may undermine their sustainable development. Using the case of Tanzania, we investigate the evidence of crime and analyze the factors which determine victimization. Based on a panel dataset of 786 households from rural Tanzania, we find relatively high victimization rates of 37 % and 47 % in 2016 and 2018, respectively. The random-effects and pooled logit models reveal that living in a rural region with high levels of unemployment is positively correlated with the likelihood of victimization. Moreover, exposure to weather shocks such as floods is positively associated with the likelihood of being affected by crime. We conclude that rural crime victimization requires attention due to its high incidence in Tanzania. Improving job opportunities especially for the youth in rural Tanzania is expected to reduce the likelihood of victimization. Guardianship should be encouraged, especially during times of weather shocks.

AB - Rural crime victimization, especially in form of theft, is a serious problem in rural areas in Sub Saharan Africa as it may undermine their sustainable development. Using the case of Tanzania, we investigate the evidence of crime and analyze the factors which determine victimization. Based on a panel dataset of 786 households from rural Tanzania, we find relatively high victimization rates of 37 % and 47 % in 2016 and 2018, respectively. The random-effects and pooled logit models reveal that living in a rural region with high levels of unemployment is positively correlated with the likelihood of victimization. Moreover, exposure to weather shocks such as floods is positively associated with the likelihood of being affected by crime. We conclude that rural crime victimization requires attention due to its high incidence in Tanzania. Improving job opportunities especially for the youth in rural Tanzania is expected to reduce the likelihood of victimization. Guardianship should be encouraged, especially during times of weather shocks.

KW - Logit model

KW - Routine activity approach

KW - Rural crime

KW - Tanzania

KW - Theft victimization

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85209758059&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106854

DO - 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106854

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:85209758059

VL - 187

JO - World development

JF - World development

SN - 0305-750X

M1 - 106854

ER -